The inevitability of Chinese Hegemony
With a population like that of China, where the people are gaining as producers and consumers of world products and services, it’s inevitable that China will become the next hegemonic global power.The upper limit to the economic power and influence of states on the world stage is based on these factors:
1. A balanced consumer/producer economy
2. A large dynamic population
3. Society wide encouragement and promotion of scientific and technological innovation.
5. Diversity of cultures, peoples and ideas
Well, I don’t view Chinese hegemony as inevitable. Nor do I think that it is necessarily going to be permanent if it’s going to happen at all.
The greatest challenge that the Americans fail to realize, accept and work with is the issue of legitimacy amongst nations, peoples and societies, We are perceived (rightfully so sometimes) of just bossing people around willy nilly to adhere to OUR values and OUR systems and logics (as if they’re universal) while neglecting to uphold our own principles in our own country.
The Chinese don’t do that. They don’t care how societies organize or operate, provided that they at least don’t get in the way of Chinese interests and ambitions (which are mostly aimed at resource collection and other more practical strategic issues rather than imposing value systems on other people artificially).
Even if the Chinese eclipses the US, the rest of the world could still be banded together against a repressive Chinese hegemony. The US may still have the strongest military in the world, but, that doesn’t do much good when you’re fighting more than half of the world’s population if the Chinese are able to take over influence of most of the rest of the world (especially when it comes to the question of occupation and other long term consequences of conflict). They’ve already encroached into Latin America significantly, made huge inroads in Africa and are only focusing on creating a larger regional power base for themselves in Asia.
The advantage in Asia is that the Chinese are, predictably, alienating the societies of the Asian countries that feel they’re being encroached on. This means that the US can band them together under a strategic alliance to counter the Chinese. But we’ve also got to look beyond Asia, as the Chinese spread their influence globally, such that we have SOCIETIES (not governments, per se) allied with us against the potential repression of the Chinese as they gather resources to feed their hungry economy and society. This means changing a lot of our attitudes, tones and perspectives with regards to the world, accepting people for who they are, in spite of how it makes us feel and acknowledging that they too are looking for happiness, health and dignity on the individual and collective levels.
Therefore, my recipe for the US is as such: maintain military superiority through improved STRATEGY and TECHNOLOGY. Prioritize friendship amongst the neighborhood of nations rather than promote our value system and systems of governance. Work with people to solve disputes as a true mediator rather than as a partisan for one side or the other. Seek the common ground in all disputes with other countries, such that a reasoned middle way is reached rather than an individual win-lose situation (if possible). Be willing to give others what they need when it is of no consequence to our strategy or to our domestic well being. Be flexible and recognize when other governments are actually overstepping their legitimacy, such that they’ll naturally lose (in other words, keep an accurate view of the situation without your values imposed on top of it, and don’t freak out when it looks like others are “winning” when they’re not). And, finally, prioritize the homeland first over all other imperial assets spread throughout the world. This last point goes along with the point that genuine respect is key to interacting successfully with other nations, and that, according to the historical data, empires have never been a successful model for handling business, owing to their cumbersomeness and inevitability of collapse. Thus is how it works in natural law, and thus, it’s something we should avoid carrying out, while maintaining projection capabilities from home bases.
Think about it.
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